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Economy

Omicron, economy and budget deficits

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Omicron economy budget deficits

Dr BinishQadri

The World Health Organization on November 26, 2021, labelled variant B.1.1.529 a variant of great alarm, named Omicron, on the advice of WHO’s Technical Advisory on Virus Evolution (TAG-VE). Extensive evidence was presented to this advisory that Omicron has several mutations affecting its behaviour.

Research is coming up at different levels to get hold of different aspects of Omicron in a better way.  There is much ambiguity about whether there is more transmission in Omicron as compared to other variants, including the Delta variant. South Africa has seen the number of people testing positive increasing as a result of this variant. Many epidemiologic studies are in progress that aims at knowing if the positive cases are rising because of Omicron or some other factors.

One of the biggest aims of economies is resource allocation involving a balance between our priorities and competing needs so as to get the most suitable economic action. Any fiscal policy demands a judicious attitude in pursuing the goal of resource allocation and distribution. Fiscal discipline should reduce fluctuations in income, output, and employment.

Whether it is omicron or anything else the fact is that all facets of the current pandemic have in one way or the other way affected economies of the world in general and underdeveloped in particular. It is very important to correct all economic and social odds.

Fiscal indiscipline is an important characteristic related to all shocks of all times and COVID19 is no exception. Fiscal indiscipline implies that our governments are not maintaining good fiscal positions that coincide with macroeconomic stability and economic growth that is all-inclusive and sustained. Borrowing in large numbers and amassing debt like anything are enemies of every economy. The dual actions are responsible for the creation of fiscal crunches. To achieve the target of Fiscal discipline it is necessary for governments to maintain fiscal positions that are consistent with macroeconomic stability and economic growth that is sustained by letter and spirit. In order to create and maintain fiscal etiquette, there should be an avoidance of debt accumulation and excessive borrowing.

One of the biggest aims of economies is resource allocation involving a balance between our priorities and competing needs so as to get the most suitable economic action. Any fiscal policy demands a judicious attitude in pursuing the goal of resource allocation and distribution. Fiscal discipline should reduce fluctuations in income, output, and employment. COVID19 and all its variants no doubt have generated fiscal indiscipline which is why all governments should be prudent to create ‘‘budgetary beanbags’’ to combat all shocks and disturbances and to deal with anticipated economic and fiscal burdens.

Economists surveyed by Reuters argue that economies should emphasize fiscal judiciousness as there is a declining trend in the Indian economy. Lead Economist at Emkay Global Financial Services, Madhavi Arora argues that Omicron and the allied bad repercussions have a short end and is in no way a long-lasting wave.

A fiscal deficit connotes a gap in a government’s income compared with its spending thereby meaning that there is a fiscal dearth in the government spending beyond its means. There is a dip in the fiscal deficit from 135.1% in the April-November period of the previous financial year to 46.2% in the current financial year. There is a need for fiscal consolidation and all the fiscal policies carried out by the government at all levels must aim at reducing their deficits and debt stock build-up.

In order to understand Omicron and its impact on the Indian economy and other emerging markets, planners need to Google and start thinking about consolidating their budget deficits post COVID19 years. They need to include a series of fiscal responsibility laws, fiscal guidelines, and fiscal assistance (dynamic organizations in particular).

The strategy and implementation policy, alongside economic (fiscal) and political commitment are necessary and sufficient conditions for the effective strengthening of fiscal discipline during shocks.

Dr Binish Qadri is an assistant professor at the Department of Economics, University of Kashmir. You can reach her at qadribinish@gmail.com.

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Economy

Editorial | J&K Budget 2025-26 – A Balancing Act

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J&K Budget 2025-26

Fiscal Constraints Amidst Development Aspirations

J&K Budget 2025-26

Preparing the maiden budget for Jammu and Kashmir as the head of an elected government of a state downgraded to a UT and remaining under central rule without an elected government for more than seven years with overwhelming challenges was an arduous task for Chief Minister Omar Abdullah.

While his speech paints a hopeful picture of a “new and prosperous” J&K, a closer look reveals a delicate balancing act necessitated by fiscal realities and the people’s aspirations: high hopes with vivid memories of recent election promises.

As Omar Abdullah seeks to lay the foundation for ‘long-term growth, stability, and self-reliance’ of J&K, he has to walk a tightrope to keep the state’s mounting debt under control. However, his prudent management to keep the fiscal deficit under leash has come at a cost: a leaner budget. This year’s budget allocation of Rs 1.12 lakh crore is Rs 6080 crore or 5% less than last year’s budget announcement of Rs 1.18 lakh crore. The reduction in budget allocation, along with 4-5% inflation, raises concerns about the government’s ability to realise its ambitious development goals fully.

The CM’s speech, though, outlines a comprehensive vision, touching upon crucial sectors like rural development, agriculture, tourism, and industry. But translating these aspirations into tangible outcomes requires substantial financial investment. Moreover, the pervasive challenge of inflation adds another layer of complexity. Rising prices erode purchasing power, making it harder to stretch limited budgetary resources.

As Omar Abdullah seeks to lay the foundation for ‘long-term growth, stability, and self-reliance’ of J&K, he has to walk a tightrope to keep the state’s mounting debt under control. However, his prudent management to keep the fiscal deficit under leash has come at a cost: a leaner budget. This year’s budget allocation of Rs 1.12 lakh crore is Rs 6080 crore or 5% less than last year’s budget announcement of Rs 1.18 lakh crore.

The emphasis on fiscal prudence, curbing non-priority spending, and enhancing revenue collection is understandable, given J&K’s historical fiscal stress. However, austerity measures must be carefully calibrated to avoid stifling economic growth and hindering essential public services, especially when inflation is already squeezing household budgets.

The budget’s focus on digital governance and healthcare accessibility is welcome. Initiatives like the SEHAT app and the expansion of digital services have the potential to improve efficiency and transparency. Yet, the question remains: are the allocated funds sufficient to ensure the effective implementation of these programs, particularly when the real cost of implementation is escalating due to inflation?

The agricultural sector, a cornerstone of J&K’s economy, receives significant attention. The success of the Holistic Agriculture Development Program (HADP) will be crucial in boosting farmer incomes and creating employment opportunities. The allocation to HADP has been reduced Rs 800 crore from last year’s 1000 crore plus. However, the program’s impact will depend on the timely disbursement of funds and effective implementation, and whether the farmers can see real increases in their income, that outpace the rising cost of goods.

Similarly, the ambitious plans for tourism development require substantial investment in infrastructure and marketing. While the government’s efforts to promote offbeat destinations and sustainable tourism are laudable, the sector’s growth will depend on attracting private investment and addressing critical challenges like sustainability and waste management, while also dealing with rising operational costs due to inflation.

Some headline-making announcements like free rides for women in public transport and 200 free units of solarised power for AAY population fail to impress the general public. The argument is J&K has almost non-existent public transport. About 850 public buses with a passenger capacity of 35,000 people do not even suffice the transport needs of the 1% of the 1.2 crore population of J&K. The 200 e-buses for two metro capital cities, announced in last year’s budget, failed to take route. CM has repeated the announcement this year.

The government’s commitment to empowering MSMEs and startups is also noteworthy. However, ensuring access to finance and creating a conducive business environment will be essential for fostering entrepreneurship, and this becomes more difficult when inflation creates financial uncertainty. In last year’s budget, a good amount was announced under Youth Startup and Seed Capital Schemes but both schemes failed to take off.

Also, the budget is unable to address the burgeoning unemployment that, as per some private surveys, has reached 32%.

Whatever the allocations, the success of this budget will be now judged by its ability to deliver tangible benefits to the people of J&K. While the government’s efforts to reduce the fiscal deficit are commendable, it must also prioritize investments that will drive economic growth, create jobs, and improve the quality of life for all citizens, while also mitigating the effects of inflation.

The challenge lies in navigating fiscal constraints and inflationary pressures while maintaining momentum on the development path. This budget sets the stage for a critical year ahead, one that will test the Omar Abdullah government’s ability to balance its books and deliver on its promises, in a climate of rising prices.

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Economy

SKUAST-K to hold mega Science Summit on Aug 23-24

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SKUAST-K Mega Science Summit

Srinagar, Aug 21: Sher-e-Kashmir University of Agricultural Sciences and Technology of Kashmir is hosting a mega first-of-its-kind science summit ‘Kashmir Science Vision-2024’ on August 23-24 at Shalimar campus. The event is expected to bring together leading scientists, researchers, policymakers, entrepreneurs and scholars to discuss and develop science and technology policy for the sustainable future of Jammu and Kashmir with a focus on helping the UT to emerge as a model for Viksit Bharat@2047.

The Kashmir Science Vision Summit will feature a dynamic range of keynote lectures, panel discussions and brainstorming sessions.

These discussions will focus on key areas of regional development like Scientific Innovations & Entrepreneurial Opportunities for exploring how technology can be harnessed to drive socio-economic growth and create new business opportunities, Biomedical & New-Age Sciences for advancing healthcare through innovative medical sciences and improving health outcomes for the region’s residents. Food Security & Sustainability for promoting sustainable agricultural practices to ensure long-term food security and environmental health, Biodiversity Conservation & Disaster Management for developing strategies to protect the region’s unique ecosystems and mitigate the impact of natural disasters will also feature in the two-day summit.

The summit aims to foster collaboration among diverse stakeholders to ensure that scientific advancements translate into meaningful benefits for Jammu and Kashmir.

Vice Chancellor SKUAST-K Prof Nazir Ahmad Ganai said the summit will serve as a catalyst for the region’s sustainable development and strategic growth. “It will be remembered as the spark that ignited science and technology-led future-ready Jammu & Kashmir,” he added.

Pertinent to mention, SKUAST-K is a premier institution dedicated to advancing agricultural sciences and technology. With a commitment to innovation and excellence, the university plays a pivotal role in fostering sustainable development and technological progress in the region.

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Trade

Lenskart enters Kashmir market, opens shop at Regal Chowk

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Lenskart enters Kashmir market

Srinagar: Lenskart, India’s leading eyewear brand, has forayed into the Kashmir valley with the opening of its first outlet at Regal Chowk in Srinagar city. This expansion marks a significant milestone for Lenskart as it continues its mission to provide vision correction solutions to every individual across the country and beyond.

With seven successful stores already established in J&K UT’s Jammu city and plans underway for another outlet in Sanat Nagar, Srinagar, Lenskart aims to extend its presence to every nook and corner of Srinagar city.

“We have plans to expand our reach into other districts of Kashmir soon, ensuring accessibility to quality eyewear products and services for all residents,” said Dr Mohammad Mutaher Zerger, who heads Lenskart’s Portfolio and Franchisee Business Divisions.

Dr Mutaher is a seasoned professional with extensive experience in franchise management. Having previously served at McDonald’s, the new head of franchise at Lenskart brings valuable expertise in expansion strategies and operational excellence. “We are dedicated to providing state-of-the-art sophistication in eyewear technology, coupled with unparalleled customer service,” he added.

Lenskart’s commitment to accessibility and affordability is reflected in its offerings, including the innovative Buy One Get One (BOGO) facility available at all Lenskart outlets and online. Additionally, the brand provides complimentary eye testing facilities, ensuring that customers receive comprehensive care tailored to their needs.

Lenskart enters Kashmir market

Lenskart Founder, Shark Piyush Bansal’s Vision is to give correction-less vision to the entire India.

In line with its dedication to innovation and excellence, Lenskart recently inaugurated a cutting-edge robotic factory in Bhiwandi, where lens production and fittings are carried out with precision and efficiency. This advanced facility underscores Lenskart’s commitment to leveraging technology to deliver superior-quality products to its customers.

Lenskart enters Kashmir market

With a network of 1800 stores across India and a growing presence in international markets such as Singapore, Saudi Arabia, Thailand, and the UAE, Lenskart is poised for further expansion into other countries in the Middle East and Asia-Pacific regions.

Lenskart’s entry into Kashmir signifies not only its commitment to providing vision correction solutions but also its dedication to empowering individuals with the gift of clear vision, enabling them to lead more fulfilling lives.

 

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